Windows 12: Release Date, Leaks, and Subscription Speculation
Introduction
Let's start with a clear note: Microsoft has yet to officially confirm the development of Windows 12. However, credible leaks, rumors, and various indicators strongly suggest that a potential Windows 12 release in 2024 is on the horizon. This comes much quicker than the transition from Windows 10 to Windows 11.
Between the launches of Windows 10 and Windows 11, six years passed, and Windows 11 was released only two years ago. But prior to Windows 10, major Windows releases occurred approximately every three years, starting from Windows Vista. So, the idea of a new Windows version arriving relatively soon is not out of the question.
When Is Windows 12 Coming Out?
The first hint that Windows 12 might arrive sooner than expected came when Microsoft reportedly introduced a new update cadence for Windows, with major versions scheduled for release every three years, potentially placing Windows 12 in 2024.
Microsoft had previously announced its plan to move to annual feature updates for Windows, and we received the Windows 11 updates 22H2 in the second half of 2022 and 23H2 in 2023. If Microsoft is indeed gearing up for a Windows 12 release in 2024, we might not see a 24H2 update for Windows 11.
Adding weight to the argument for a 2024 release is a recent statement from Intel's chief financial officer, who hinted at increased PC sales due to the upcoming version of Windows expected next year.
The Main Source of Windows 12 Leaks
Much of the information surrounding Windows 12 comes from a single reliable source: Windows Central's Zac Bowden, known for accurate Windows predictions. Among Bowden's leaks about Windows 12 are details like built-in AI features, a shift to lightweight modular code, and the codename "Hudson Valley."
Another potential glimpse of Windows 12 emerged at Microsoft Ignite, an IT-focused conference, where a modified Windows desktop interface was showcased. This interface has sparked speculation about what Windows 12 might look like.
The image revealed a floating taskbar, a top-anchored search bar, and relocated system icons in the top-right corner. A weather button found its place in the top-left corner.
It's worth noting that these design changes may not represent a significant overhaul, unlike the transition from Windows 10 to 11. Altering the location of system information might disrupt the habits of longtime Windows users.
Is Windows as a Service a Thing of the Past?
When Windows 10 was launched, Microsoft introduced the concept of "Windows as a service," promising a steady stream of updates between major releases. Windows 11 has followed this pattern, and it's expected that Windows 12 will continue to evolve with ongoing updates. The strategy of delivering both major feature updates and interim updates is likely to persist.
Will Windows 12 Require a Subscription?
Code analysis within a Windows Insider build in the Canary channel has unveiled references to a "subscription edition," "subscription type," and "subscription status." This has sparked speculation about Microsoft potentially introducing a subscription model for Windows 12, possibly resulting in lower PC prices. There's even talk of a free, ad-supported version.
Another possibility is that these references to subscriptions could be aimed at business users, similar to the existing Windows 365 Cloud PC option.
The introduction of a subscription model for Windows could provoke mixed reactions among users, similar to what occurred when Adobe Photoshop transitioned to a subscription model.
Windows 12 Will Embrace AI
Windows 11's 23H2 update introduced AI tools like Windows Copilot, and Windows 12 is expected to expand on this with more user-facing predictive and assistive tools. AI technology can also enhance backend functions such as code stability and update delivery.
In the past, Windows Search and the Edge web browsers adopted conversational search powered by AI. Recent hints suggest the possibility of AI-driven features, like a "Recommended" section in File Explorer, offering file and folder suggestions.
Conclusion
While Microsoft hasn't officially confirmed Windows 12, various signs point to a 2024 release, accompanied by possible changes in subscription models and increased integration of AI features. As the tech world eagerly anticipates Windows 12, stay tuned for official updates from Microsoft and watch for more leaks and rumors from trusted sources.